← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/6/2025
Water Crux MageTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 2/6/2025
decks
4
(8.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
5-5-4
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1466
· median 1462
· range 1373–1567
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1197
Q3 1413
1750
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.2% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 8.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Slimes | 8.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.3% | +0.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Wind Allies | 6.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Water Allies | 4.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 48.5% | -1.4 |
| Water Silvie | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Diana | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
